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Kenai, Alaska 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
NWS Forecast for Kenai AK
National Weather Service Forecast for: Kenai AK
Issued by: National Weather Service Anchorage, AK
Updated: 8:53 pm AKDT May 16, 2026
 
Overnight

Overnight: A chance of rain.  Cloudy, with a low around 43. East wind around 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Chance Rain

Sunday

Sunday: Rain likely, mainly after 1pm.  Cloudy, with a high near 53. East wind 10 to 15 mph becoming southwest 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Rain Likely

Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Showers likely, mainly before 7pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 38. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming southeast after midnight.  Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Showers
Likely
Monday

Monday: Scattered showers.  Cloudy, with a high near 48. Southeast wind around 5 mph becoming northeast in the morning.  Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Scattered
Showers
Monday
Night
Monday Night: A chance of showers before 10pm, then a chance of rain after 1am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 38. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming northeast after midnight.  Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Chance
Showers
Tuesday

Tuesday: Rain likely, mainly after 4pm.  Cloudy, with a high near 48. Northeast wind around 10 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Chance Rain
then Rain
Likely
Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Rain likely before 1am, then showers likely, mainly after 4am.  Cloudy, with a low around 39. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Rain Likely

Wednesday

Wednesday: Showers likely, mainly before 10am.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 49.
Showers
Likely
Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: A chance of showers before 10pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 39.
Chance
Showers then
Mostly Cloudy
Lo 43 °F Hi 53 °F Lo 38 °F Hi 48 °F Lo 38 °F Hi 48 °F Lo 39 °F Hi 49 °F Lo 39 °F

Special Weather Statement
 

Overnight
 
A chance of rain. Cloudy, with a low around 43. East wind around 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Sunday
 
Rain likely, mainly after 1pm. Cloudy, with a high near 53. East wind 10 to 15 mph becoming southwest 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Sunday Night
 
Showers likely, mainly before 7pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 38. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming southeast after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Monday
 
Scattered showers. Cloudy, with a high near 48. Southeast wind around 5 mph becoming northeast in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Monday Night
 
A chance of showers before 10pm, then a chance of rain after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 38. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming northeast after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Tuesday
 
Rain likely, mainly after 4pm. Cloudy, with a high near 48. Northeast wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Tuesday Night
 
Rain likely before 1am, then showers likely, mainly after 4am. Cloudy, with a low around 39. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Wednesday
 
Showers likely, mainly before 10am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 49.
Wednesday Night
 
A chance of showers before 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 39.
Thursday
 
Showers likely after 4pm. Cloudy, with a high near 50.
Thursday Night
 
Showers likely. Cloudy, with a low around 40.
Friday
 
Showers likely. Cloudy, with a high near 49.
Friday Night
 
Showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 39.
Saturday
 
A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 49.

 

Forecast from NOAA-NWS for Kenai AK.

Weather Forecast Discussion
408
FXAK68 PAFC 170032
AFDAFC

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
432 PM AKDT Sat May 16 2026

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3: This
afternoon through Tuesday afternoon)...

Wet and/or windy for much of Southcentral this weekend as an
unseasonably strong storm system impacts the region. Wind
Advisories are in effect for Anchorage and Lower Mat Valley, and
Special Weather Statements are in effect across Kenai Peninsula
and Prince William Sound. The highest precipitation amounts will
be in Kodiak Island and along the Gulf coast (including Prince
William Sound), with only isolated showers expected for more
interior locations through tomorrow morning. From the latter half
of Sunday through much of Monday, expect rain showers with breezy
afternoon winds. By late Monday, the next low brings widespread
rain as it moves from the North Pacific into Southcentral.

&&


.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA, THE BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS
(Days 1 through 3)...

A now weakening low pressure system, with a center just southeast
of the Pribilof Islands, continues to define the weather pattern
across Southwest Alaska and the Bering Sea. The low has pushed a
front into the Southwestern Alaska coast, spreading gusty
southeasterly winds and light-to-moderate rainfall rates across
the region. Strongest winds and rainfall is along the mountainous
Alaska Peninsula and Ahklun Mountains. Precipitation associated
with the low pressure center is broad enough to include the Alaska
Peninsula, the eastern Aleutians including
Unalaska/Nikolski/Akutan, and the Pribilof Islands. The
precipitation type across this system is predominantly rainfall,
with only the Pribilof islands seeing snowfall, but no
accumulations on the ground are expected. The Bering low remains
stationary overnight into Sunday late morning allowing for
continued rain showers and breezy conditions. Through Sunday
afternoon and evening, the Bering low continues to broaden and
weaken as it moves west of the Pribilof Islands. A North Pacific
low moves toward the Alaska Peninsula bringing another round of
rain and southerly winds to Southwest Alaska, portions of the
Aleutians and the Alaska Peninsula Monday.

-CL

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Wednesday through
Saturday)...

A broad upper-level trough over the Bering Sea extending into the
Gulf looks to remain in place through at least early to mid next
week. This will support continued unsettled conditions across much
of southern Alaska.

By midweek, focus shifts farther west as the active Bering Sea
pattern continues. Another low is expected to move off Kamchatka,
though model guidance remains split on its track. The
European/Canadian models keep the low a bit farther north of the
Aleutians, while the GFS favors the low just to the south of the
Aleutian Chain. Regardless of the exact track, unsettled
conditions are expected to persist across the Aleutian Chain as
this system and its associated front progress eastward through
Friday.

LM

&&


.AVIATION...

PANC...VFR conditions will prevail through the TAF package.
Strong southeasterly winds will continue through around midnight
as a frontal system approaches. Sustained winds of 15 to 25 mph
with gusts 30 to 45 mph are likely. Winds are expected to quickly
turn northerly and diminish as the southeasterly winds coming out
of Turnagain Arm turn down Cook Inlet through Sunday. This
expected wind shift will likely coincide with a period of
continued gusty southeasterly winds aloft over the Chugach
Mountains, resulting in the potential for LLWS from around
midnight through Sunday morning. South-southeasterly winds are
expected to redevelop by late Sunday morning with gusts of up to
35 mph possible through late Sunday evening. Chances for rain
showers increase late Sunday.

-TM

&&


$$
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Forecast Discussion from: NOAA-NWS Script developed by: El Dorado Weather






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