Kenai, Alaska 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

167
FXAK68 PAFC 311357
AFDAFC

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
457 AM AKST Sat Jan 31 2026

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...

A weakening shortwave trough will continue to lift north today,
continuing light rain/freezing rain showers for the Kenai
Peninsula, Anchorage, southwest Susitna Valley and PWS. These will
slowly taper off through the day as shortwave ridging builds in
from the south. Clearing skies overnight for most areas, barring
fog and stratus formation, will allow temperatures to drop to
around normal for the region. On Monday a weak front will push
into the coast and Kodiak Again, returning light rain to the
eastern Kenai and Kodiak, with chances for showers inland. A
stronger front and warm temperatures aloft will move into the Gulf
on Tuesday with widespread gales to storm force winds for the
Gulf marine areas. Light to moderate rain will reach Kodiak and
the Sound/coastal mountains by Tuesday afternoon.

-CJ

&&


.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS
(Days 1 through 3: Saturday morning through Monday morning)...

Southwest Alaska, areas of light snow will continue today,
tapering off by the afternoon for most locations. Expect drier,
yet cloudy weather for Sunday and Monday, as weak upper-level
shortwaves continue to traverse westward across the area.

In the western Bering, several shortwaves will lift across Shemya
bringing sporadic snow showers through this afternoon. Meanwhile,
snow showers increase from Adak to Unalaska as a gale- force
North Pacific low lifts its front and warmer air into the area.
This may become a rain/snow mix or a complete changeover to rain
by Monday morning.

Additionally, on Monday a trough looks to dig southward from the
Kamchatka Peninsula mainly affecting Adak and islands to the west.
This will bring a renewed wave of cold air, along with scattered
snow showers at times.

&&


.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7/Tuesday through Friday)...

The large scale pattern in place right now will persist for at
least the next week. While model spread is large with the handling
of individual storms, there is overall high confidence in the
type of weather expected in this pattern. Generally expect warmer
than normal temperatures and mixed precipitation-types across
southern Alaska as storms track up from the Pacific into the Gulf
and Southcentral. The Gulf coast will see the greatest impacts
from each storm, with periods of moderate precipitation (low
elevation rain and mountain snow) and strong winds. As has been
the case in recent days, light precipitation may occasionally
spread inland in the form of rain or freezing rain. A persistent
ridge from Canada into the Alaska Interior will cause storms to
curve westward and quickly weaken as they move toward Southwest AK
and the eastern Bering Sea. Thus, impacts from precipitation and
wind will be much less over Southwest AK. Quieter weather will
persist across the central to western Bering Sea and Aleutians
under prevailing northerly flow.

-SEB

&&

.AVIATION...

PANC...VFR conditions and light winds will persist through the TAF
period. Very light rain showers with near freezing surface
temperatures will continue in the vicinity through the early
afternoon.

&&


$$